
- Arthur Hayes predicts Bitcoin reaching $1M by 2028.
- He cites economic shifts and capital repatriation as catalysts.
- Market reaction includes debates on feasibility and timing.

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, predicts Bitcoin will soar to $1 million by 2028, citing macroeconomic factors impacting global capital flows.
Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, has outlined his view that Bitcoin will reach $1 million by 2028. He attributes this growth to factors like the devaluation of U.S. Treasuries. Hayes, known for his influential insights, suggested that Bitcoin will surge due to an expected capital shift from sovereign debt to decentralized assets. He also posited that institutional capital will seek refuge in borderless bearer assets.
The crypto market is reacting strongly to Hayes’ projections, sparking debates among traders and analysts. A shift of just 10% of global portfolio assets into Bitcoin could dramatically affect prices, alongside Bitcoin’s already constrained supply. Hayes believes economic policies under a potential Trump presidency could accelerate these processes. His remarks highlight the cryptocurrency’s potential to outperform traditional assets, fueling further adoption among institutional investors.
“Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2028, driven by the devaluation of U.S. Treasuries and capital repatriation. A second Trump presidency could accelerate monetary expansion, pushing more capital into hard assets like Bitcoin.” — Arthur Hayes, Co-founder, BitMEX
Hayes’ prediction hinges on large-scale economic drivers like a significant move away from fiat-based assets. Historical data supporting major capital flows into crypto during economic upheavals lends weight to his projection. China’s OTC activities, despite restrictions, emphasize potential underground market strength and the continued appeal of crypto as a sanctuary asset. Capital transitions echo past events where economic shocks have led to increased crypto adoption across affected regions. Ethereum, specifically, stands to benefit significantly from institutional adoption, potentially outperforming Solana due to its use cases and traction.
Potential outcomes include shifts in global investment patterns, with an emphasis on decentralized assets, and growing interest in crypto markets from institutional capital. Hayes’ bold prediction connects macroeconomic trends with a future landscape advocating a stronger, crypto-centric market. The implications for investors and policymakers may reshape approaches to regulations and market strategies.
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