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Bitcoin Correlation with US Tech Stocks Hits Near Three-Year High

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Bitcoin's Correlation with US Tech Stocks Hits High
Key Points:
  • Bitcoinโ€™s correlation with tech stocks hits nearly three-year high.
  • The market impact includes Bitcoinโ€™s amplified volatility.
  • No recent regulatory comments on this trend.

The correlation between Bitcoin and US tech stocks, specifically the Nasdaq 100, has reached a near three-year high of approximately 0.80. This development highlights Bitcoinโ€™s current behavior similar to a high-beta US tech stock, amplifying the volatility experienced during equity market fluctuations.

Bitcoinโ€™s strengthened correlation with the Nasdaq 100 impacts its position as an investment tool, suggesting its current behavior aligns more with high-beta risk assets.

Correlation Surge

The correlation between Bitcoin and US tech stocks has surged, reaching approximately 0.80. The Kobeissi Letter highlighted this phenomenon, marking the second-highest level in a decade. This shift underscores changing dynamics in Bitcoinโ€™s asset behavior.

The Kobeissi Letter, a financial commentary account, noted the significant correlation spike. Primary sources have yet to show parallel comments from key industry leaders or developers. Current analysis links Bitcoinโ€™s behavior to macroeconomic trends and market sentiment changes.

Market Impact and Expert Views

Bitcoin and major tech stocks are most affected, with minimal linkage to safe-haven assets like gold. Jasper De Maere of Wintermute identified Bitcoin as a โ€œhigh-beta risk asset.โ€ The crypto market recently lost $1.1 trillion in market cap.

โ€œThis crowding of mindshare means BTC remains correlated when global risk sentiment turns, but doesnโ€™t benefit proportionally when optimism returns. It reacts as a โ€˜high-beta tailโ€™ of macro risk rather than a standalone narrative.โ€ โ€” Jasper De Maere, Wintermute

Bitcoinโ€™s correlation patterns reflect broader market stress; similar trends were observed during significant past market events, like the March 2020 COVID crash. Historically, Bitcoin has moved in sync with equities under economic duress.

The implications of this correlation indicate potential volatility amplification in both bullish and bearish markets. No comments from the SEC, CFTC, or other regulators have surfaced as of yet. Bitcoin continues to draw comparisons with leveraged tech stocks, impacting portfolio strategies and investor perceptions.

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