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Loan Prime Rate holds ninth month as PBOC stays cautious

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Loan Prime Rate holds ninth month as PBOC stays cautious

Key Takeaways:

  • Ninth straight month of unchanged one-year and five-year LPRs.
  • Authorities favor targeted easing via structural facilities and RRR tweaks.
  • Measures support credit, shield banksโ€™ NIMs, without lowering economy-wide borrowing costs.
PBOC holds one- and five-year LPRs in Feb: Impact on loans

China left benchmark lending rates unchanged for a ninth consecutive month in February, as reported by Reuters, keeping both the one-year and five-year Loan Prime Rates (LPRs) steady. The pause reflects the Peopleโ€™s Bank of Chinaโ€™s calibrated approach.

Rather than broad LPR cuts, authorities appear to favor targeted easing via structural facilities and reserve requirement ratio (RRR) adjustments to support credit while protecting banksโ€™ net interest margins, based on analysis from S&P Global. This channels aid to specific sectors without materially lowering economy-wide borrowing costs.

The one-year LPR stands at 3.00% and the five-year LPR at 3.50%, levels held unchanged in January for an eighth month, according to InvestingLive. February maintained that stance, extending the sequence of steady settings.

For households, an unchanged five-year LPR, the mortgage benchmark, limits immediate relief for new mortgages and refinancing. For corporates, a steady one-year LPR keeps loan pricing stable but does not loosen credit conditions by itself.

Context from sell-side research points to why policymakers are patient. โ€œRecent adjustments to targeted tools have lowered the need for large LPR moves for now,โ€ said Bank of America Securities.

Views differ on timing, but a cautious, data-led bias prevails. โ€œWe see modest policy-rate reductions ahead, with LPR cuts more likely to follow later, potentially in Q2,โ€ said Nomura.

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