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US Treasury Foresees Stablecoin Growth to $3 Trillion by 2030

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US Treasury Foresees Stablecoin Growth to $3 Trillion by 2030
Key Takeaways:
  • Stablecoin market projected to reach $3 trillion.
  • GENIUS Act drives regulatory clarity.
  • Significant demand increase for US Treasuries.

The stablecoin market, projected to reach $3 trillion by 2030, is receiving a boost from regulatory advances like the GENIUS Act. This growth impacts assets like USDC and USDT, increasing demand for U.S. Treasuries.

The anticipated growth underscores the significant regulatory changes impacting the stablecoin market, which currently stands at $300 billion. A surge in demand for US Treasuries is expected.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced the potential growth of stablecoins, currently valued at around $300 billion, to an estimated $3 trillion by 2030. His statement emphasized the role of the newly implemented GENIUS Act, which provides the regulatory clarity needed for sustainable growth. The act mandates stablecoin issuers to hold 100 percent reserves, thereby strengthening ties with traditional financial assets like Treasury bills.

Bessent highlighted the revolutionary nature of stablecoins in digital finance, emphasizing their internet-native payment capabilities. This, he says, is expected to lead to significant increases in demand for US Treasuries, particularly due to their integral role in backing stablecoins. Meanwhile, the market has seen a stablecoin supply growth rate of over 20 percent in the past six months, driven by integration with payment networks and increased regulatory transparency.

The projection of a $3 trillion market cap posits a major impact on US Treasuries and the crypto-financial landscape. Major stablecoins like USDC and USDT will likely see increased integration and utility, fueling demand for Treasury bills. Ethereum and DeFi applications may also benefit from increased stablecoin issuance and integration due to regulatory clarity.

Stablecoin adoption is influenced by precedents like FinCEN guidance and European MiCA regulation. These historical events led to notable increases in stablecoin and DeFi platform adoption. Therefore, Ethereum and assets like USDC, USDT, and various DeFi tokens are expected to experience enhanced market activity.

Potential outcomes include heightened market participation from institutional investors and increased issuance of asset-backed stablecoins. The impact of the GENIUS Act reflects a shift towards institutional acceptance, with the US Treasury closely monitoring money market fund growth and stablecoin impacts.

Scott Bessent, U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, U.S. Department of the Treasury, โ€œThe stablecoin market, meanwhile, is valued around $300 billion and could grow tenfold by the end of the decade thanks to the innovation made possible by the GENIUS Act.โ€ โ€” Source

For further insights, Citigroupโ€™s analysis in their Citiโ€™s GPS Report supports similar trends, emphasizing the transformative potential of stablecoins by 2030.

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